Morning Star Candlestick Pattern
This pattern begins in a bearish market, with the first candlestick seeming to continue this with a long black stick. The second day begins at a significant gap down, but may be any color so long as it is short. This type of candlestick is commonly called a star. A star is suggestive of market ambivalence and possibly a bottom floor for prices. The third and final day has a long white candlestick that extends past the midpoint of the first day’s candlestick.
The ‘V’ pattern of this candlestick pattern is easy to interpret. The market has been in a steady downturn, but it hits its lowest point and begins the long climb back upward. Clearly, sellers are losing strength while the buyers are rallying. Because of this, the morning star pattern is considered a strong indicator of a bullish reversal in the future.
Your Next Move
Your next move when you see the morning star pattern should be to buy while the price is still low. Because this is a three day pattern, the reversal that it suggests is even more likely to happen; in fact, many traders see the third day as confirmation of the first two days. However, if you want to wait for confirmation on the fourth trading day, it will likely present itself.
Confirmation
Confirmation of this pattern can include any kind of bullish move, such as a sizeable gap up at the opening of the fourth trading day, a higher close, or a white candlestick of any length. The higher the third and fourth day compared to the first, the more likely this reversal is to happen. Again, confirmation is nice, but not necessary.
Variations
There are a few variations of the morning star candlestick pattern that can be significant. First, if the second day of the pattern has a white candlestick, a reversal is all the more likely. Second, the further into the first day’s candlestick the third day penetrates, the more indicative of an uptrend this pattern is.
Similar Pattern
The morning star is a confirmation of the reversal-indicating bullish doji star. This is why the formation does not require confirmation; it is confirmation in itself of another pattern. It is similar to the abandoned baby, except that with the abandoned baby, the third day both opens below and closes above the first day’s candlestick. Because this is very rare, the morning star is both less rare and less strong of an indicator. However, the morning star is certainly a strong indicator of a reversal on its own.
If you are looking to get in on some great
stock at a bargain basement price, the morning star pattern is an
important one to look for. While this formation may be unusual, that
makes it all the more significant. If you ignore this stock, you are
setting yourself up to miss out on a healthy profit.
https://www.technicalanalysisofstocks.in/articles/morning-star-candlestick-pattern/
Morning Star Candlestick Pattern
The third day of the morning star pattern is a large bullish candlestick that closes into the first day’s real body. The charting package of ThinkorSwim (2011) requires that the third day candlestick close above the midpoint of the first day’s candlestick real body. In addition, it is best that the third day’s candlestick gap up, but this is not absolutely required for the pattern’s validity.
Nison (1994, p. 118) suggests buying after the completion of the morning star pattern.
Morning Doji Star Candlestick Pattern
Abandoned Baby Bottom
Psychology of Morning Star Candlestick Pattern
The psychology of the morning star candlestick pattern is described next. The first day of the morning star candlestick is a large bearish candlestick that reinforces the prior continual downtrend. The second day candlestick opens lower than the prior day’s close, thus gapping down and once again reinforcing that the bears are in control of the market. However, the bears are not able to push prices downward much further. The doji, or small real body of the second day shows there is a stalemate between the bulls and the bears. Only after the third day’s bullish candlestick do the bulls show that they are now in control of the market.Traits of the Morning Star that Increase Likelihood of Trend Reversal
Nison (1991, p. 63) points out attributes of a morning star that increase the likelihood of a trend reversal:- There is indeed a gap between the first day’s candlestick real body and the second day’s candlestick real body and a gap between the second day’s candlestick real body and the third day’s candlestick real body.
- The higher the bullish candlestick on the third day closes into the price levels of the first day’s bearish candlestick, the stronger the showing of the bulls.
- There is low volume for the first day’s bearish candlestick, and in contrast, there is high volume on the third day’s bullish candlestick. High volume reinforces that bulls are serious about having reversed the previous bearish trend.
Morning Star Pattern Candlestick Chart Example
Morning Star Candlestick Pattern (3rd Day Higher Volume Than 1st Day)
Morning Doji Star (and Abandoned Baby Bottom) Example
Clarification only comes on the third day of the morning star doji candlestick pattern when prices rise over half-way into the price area of the first day’s bearish candlestick real body. Technically, the third day candlestick in the chart above is not a large bullish candlestick; in fact it is yet another doji. Even so, using Nison’s criteria for the increased likelihood of trend reversals of the morning star pattern, the third day doji candlestick gapped higher and the close of the candlestick penetrated about two-thirds of the way into the first day’s bearish candlestick.
Not only is the chart above an example of a morning doji star candlestick pattern, it is also an example of a rare abandoned baby bottom. To qualify as an abandoned baby bottom, the high of the second day must be below the lows of the first and third day; hence, there is truly a gap in the price action where no trades (i.e. no volume) occurred at those price levels in between.
Morning Doji Star (2nd Day is 2 Dojis) Candlestick Chart Pattern
The opposite pattern of the morning star pattern is the evening star pattern.
http://www.finvids.com/Candlestick-Chart/Morning-Star/
No comments:
Post a Comment